Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.004465 0.004701 0.004945 0.005214 0.005505 0.005809 0.006151
2025-09-14 0.003999 0.004342 0.004710 0.005136 0.005618 0.006148 0.006778
2025-09-21 0.003753 0.004159 0.004608 0.005144 0.005771 0.006486 0.007371
2025-09-28 0.003464 0.003896 0.004384 0.004980 0.005695 0.006533 0.007603
2025-10-05 0.003314 0.003777 0.004311 0.004976 0.005794 0.006778 0.008072
2025-10-12 0.003233 0.003732 0.004317 0.005060 0.005995 0.007150 0.008714
2025-10-19 0.003102 0.003617 0.004229 0.005021 0.006035 0.007315 0.009092
2025-10-26 0.002991 0.003519 0.004156 0.004992 0.006083 0.007486 0.009482
2025-11-02 0.002886 0.003425 0.004081 0.004955 0.006113 0.007632 0.009842
2025-11-09 0.002846 0.003407 0.004100 0.005038 0.006302 0.007996 0.010523
2025-11-16 0.002764 0.003334 0.004044 0.005018 0.006350 0.008167 0.010936
2025-11-23 0.002686 0.003261 0.003986 0.004990 0.006385 0.008317 0.011323
2025-11-30 0.002596 0.003171 0.003902 0.004926 0.006366 0.008392 0.011607
2025-12-07 0.002508 0.003081 0.003816 0.004856 0.006335 0.008446 0.011860
2025-12-14 0.002457 0.003037 0.003789 0.004863 0.006414 0.008665 0.012382
2025-12-21 0.002348 0.002914 0.003651 0.004711 0.006254 0.008516 0.012303
2025-12-28 0.002301 0.002871 0.003619 0.004708 0.006311 0.008698 0.012775
2026-01-04 0.002285 0.002870 0.003645 0.004786 0.006491 0.009077 0.013601
2026-01-11 0.002230 0.002814 0.003593 0.004749 0.006495 0.009180 0.013960
2026-01-18 0.002181 0.002765 0.003549 0.004722 0.006514 0.009304 0.014363
2026-01-25 0.002132 0.002714 0.003501 0.004688 0.006518 0.009404 0.014728
2026-02-01 0.002122 0.002716 0.003528 0.004764 0.006697 0.009800 0.015666
2026-02-08 0.002082 0.002676 0.003492 0.004746 0.006726 0.009944 0.016139